Growing supply of new apartments increases competition among developers
In Q1 2012, apartment prices in the main Lithuanian cities remained stable. If we consider the situation in each of the cities individually, only minor changes in prices were recorded. In Vilnius, prices increased 0.2%, the increase in Kaunas and Klaipėda was 0.6% and 0.1% respectively, and no changes were recorded in Šiauliai or Panevėžys. The market has not acquired any clear direction, and such minor fluctuations in apartment prices have continued for almost two years now. Over the past 24 months, apartment prices have dropped 0.8%. Considering the current situation and the prospects for the near future (the economic situation in the country, housing financing policies, and supply parameters), we can state that similar apartment price trends are likely to be observed in the foreseeable future.
The overall activity of the housing market in Lithuania continues to grow. According to data from the Centre of Registers, in Q1 2012 the number of housing transactions (apartments and houses) finalised in Lithuania was almost 10% higher than a year ago. The pace of growth in the number of deals concerning apartments and in the number of houses was similar: the number of transactions for houses during this period increased over 11%, while that for apartments increased approximately 9%. While in Q1 2010 the number of sales of houses was 460 and that number of apartments was 1,550 per month, this year this parameter grew to 510 of houses and almost 1,700 sales of apartments per month.
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Ober-Haus Celebrates 25 Years: How Has the Property Market Changed in a Quarter of a Century?
In 1998, the Lithuanian real estate market was characterised by a lack of housing, poor credit conditions and an underdeveloped commercial real estate sector. Over the last 25 years, the number of apartments for sale has increased more than 10-fold, housing market activity has almost quadrupled, lending rates have fallen from double to single digits, and modern office buildings and shopping malls are now numbering in the hundreds – that’s the picture according to the Ober-Haus Real Estate Market Review 1998–2023, conducted to celebrate the company’s 25th anniversary. The Year 2000 Marked the Beginning of the Creation of the Lithuanian Real Estate Market The years 1998–2000 can be considered as the period when the real estate sector in Lithuania began to evolve. Due to the absence of credit services, the Lithuanian population was mostly only able to purchase a home using their own funds, and commercial construction with the intention to sell or lease was in its infancy. And so, 25 years ago, investors were developing single apartment blocks, business/office assets and shopping centres, where any new development for sale or rent was regarded as a significant event in the real estate market. The Russian economic crisis, which began in…
Buyers Show No Interest in Overpriced Housing
The Ober-Haus Apartment Price Index for Lithuania (OHBI), which captures changes in apartment prices in the five largest Lithuanian cities (Vilnius, Kaunas, Klaipėda, Šiauliai and Panevėžys), remained unchanged in September 2023 (August 2023 figures had shown 0.4% growth). The overall level of apartment prices in Lithuania’s major cities grew by 2.6% over the last 12 months (an annual growth of 4.9% in August 2023). In September 2023, Klaipėda, Šiauliai and Panevėžys recorded 0.2%, 0.3% and 0.4% growth respectively, and the average price per square metre rose to EUR 1,613 (+3 €/m²), EUR 1,103 (+3 €/m²) and EUR 1,078 (+4 €/m²). Meanwhile, in Vilnius and Kaunas, the average price per square metre decreased by 0.1% month-on-month to 2.568 Eur (-3 €/m²) and 1.724 Eur (-2 €/m²) respectively. Over the year (September 2023 as compared to September 2022), apartment prices grew in all major cities of the country: in Vilnius – by 2.6%, in Kaunas – by 3.2%, in Klaipėda – by 1.6%, in Šiauliai – by 3.7%, and in Panevėžys – by 2.5%. The stagnation period in the Lithuanian housing market continues. Although the market activity indicators do not show any signs of improvement, the majority of home sellers have not…
Office sublease: thousands of invisible square metres
In the office segment, the phenomenon of sublease – the transfer of part of a company’s leased premises to a third party – became popular during the pandemic and has remained since. The market of subleased property is usually not included in the official statistics published by real estate agencies. According to OBER-HAUS, current tenants of Class A and Class B+ business centres in Vilnius alone could be offering several thousand or even tens of thousands of square metres of space for sublease. Sublease is usually simply understood as renting space not directly from the owner or manager of a business centre, but from an existing tenant established and operating in the business centre. The principle of sublease itself existed long before the pandemic, but has only become more popular in recent years as businesses switched to remote or hybrid work, consequently, the amount of space required for their operations has decreased. OBER-HAUS estimates that since the beginning of the pandemic, the average office space in Vilnius has decreased by about 30%. In other words, companies entering into new contracts today are renting office space by almost a third smaller than a few years ago. However, office lease contracts are…
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